Sports playing is often very profitable if you know the techniques the particular “smart money” bettors work with to consistently make cash. One of the greatest secrets that intelligent money gamblers use is knowing when NOT to be able to bet.
Here’s a perfect example of this. I actually analyzed the West Va vs. Louisville match, and concluded that will West Va had the particular edge in the sport. Nonetheless My spouse and i also noticed that there was a lot of random and unforeseen factors, and recommended to my clients that they accomplish not bet on this kind of game. Here is my own analysis I released prior to the game:
West Florida versus Louisville
This activity offers all the symptoms of being one associated with the very best games involving the year, using each teams coming into the action 7-0. It’s #3 ranked West Virginia against. #5 ranked Louisville, both using high-scoring offenses and stingy defenses. Last year’s video game was a classic, along with West Virginia coming backside from being down massive in the next one fourth to winning in overtime, however,.
So what’s the game appearance like this year?
In case this game were as played from a good fairly neutral field, West Virginia might probably be a 4-6 stage favorite. Since often the game is Louisville, WVU is a 1-point underdog. Let’s see if this will make sense…
West Virginia is definitely on an unprecedented rotate. They will haven’t lost since Oct. 1, 2005, planning 14-0 since they dropped to Las vegas Tech. In the last two conditions they’re 13-5 ATS likewise. They’re also 7-2 OBTAIN THE in their last nine activities overall, and 8-2 OBTAIN THE in their last 10 ROAD games.
These are some very extraordinary stats that tilt the particular scales in favor of WVU with regard to tonight’s games. Plus, the particular added in benefit is that WVU is usually GETTING +1 point. ufabet-678 will likely not seem to be like substantially, but in a close match-up similar to this, that more point could make the difference between the push and even a loss.
But you may be wondering what about Louisville?
Louisville’s statistics are really almost as good since WVU’s -except when the idea comes to Louisville within the point spread. In their past 10 games, Louisville is actually 4-6 ATS. The fact that said, Louisville is even now 7-3 ATS inside their final 10 home game titles.
In addition to if you’re leaning in direction of WVU, here’s a intimidating stat… Louisville hasn’t shed at home since Dec 20, the year 2003! During this current run Louisville is hitting 49. 4 points per game in your own home, while hitting only quitting 15. 7 points for every game from home. In case anyone failed to do the math, that means considering that their particular last home loss they’ve averaged beating their very own adversaries by about 34 things per game.
In addition outstanding, the average line in these games has only recently been 21 points. That stands for Louisville has beaten the range, on average, by means of 13 items per video game at home due to the fact 2003.
Wow… how can anyone go against that?
Here’s exactly how…
The majority of those stats were built up during the july 2004 season. Shock as to, 2006, Louisville has been nearer to fine than great. They have already got recent games that has they have already only scored twenty-eight, 3, 24 points. And these games weren’t against Kentkucky Saint. or Michigan. These people ended up against Cincinnati, Syracuse, and Kansas St.
The bottom line is the fact that this is still some sort of close match to contact. But the things i look for is West Virginia’s protection to carry the working day. If Cincinnati, Syracuse, plus Kansas St. can most hold Louisville under thirty points, then there’s no factor to think WVU can’t hold them to typically the low to middle of the 20’s. My honest advice is to lay off this particular game and not really gamble at all. There are usually better video games this weekend break with more simple rewards.
The final score on this game was Louisville 46, West Florida 34. Lousiville won because West Va had 6 fumbles together with allowed Lousiville to come back the punt for the TD. The bottom line was the fact that West Virginia’s fringe weren’t so big which they may still win soon after generating so many mistakes. By simply not betting on this specific video game, people significant regarding wagering saved money that they can put to better employ on future games.