Sports bets can be extremely profitable if a person know the strategies the “smart money” gamblers make use of to consistently make money. One of the biggest secrets that smart money gamblers use is usually knowing when NOT to bet.
Here’s a best example of this. My partner and i analyzed typically the West Va vs. Louisville game, and concluded the fact that West Florida had this edge in the activity. Nonetheless My spouse and i also noticed that there was a whole lot of random and unknown factors, and recommended to my clients that they carry out not bet on this kind of game. Here is my personal analysis I released just before the game:
West Las vegas versus Louisville
This game features all the indications of being one of the ideal games associated with the year, using equally teams coming into the overall game 7-0. It’s #3 positioned West Virginia as opposed to. #5 ranked Louisville, equally along with high-scoring offenses and stingy defenses. Last year’s game was a classic, using West Virginia coming backside from appearing down major in the final 1 / 4 to winning throughout overtime.
So what’s the game look like this year?
When this game were being played on the natural field, West Las vegas will probably be a 4-6 point favorite. Since the particular game is Louisville, WVU is a 1-point underdog. Let’s see if can make sense…
West Virginia can be on an unprecedented roll. That they haven’t lost since Jan. 1, 2005, planning 14-0 since they dropped to Va Tech. On the last two seasons they’re 13-5 ATS in addition. They’re also 7-2 ATS in their last 9 activities overall, and 8-2 ATS in their last 10 PATH games.
These types of are some very impressive stats that tilt this scales in favor of WVU for tonight’s online game. Plus, typically the extra benefit is that WVU is usually GETTING +1 point. This may not look like quite a bit, but in a close up match-up this way, that extra point will certainly make the change between a good push and a loss.
But some of us wonder what regarding Louisville?
Louisville’s figures are usually almost as good as WVU’s -except when that comes to Louisville in the point spread. In their past 10 games, Louisville is just 4-6 ATS. That will said, Louisville is in spite of everything 7-3 ATS inside their final 10 home games.
Plus if you’re leaning towards WVU, here’s a scary stat… Louisville hasn’t shed in your own home since January 17, the year 2003! During 먹튀폴리스 existing run Louisville is averaging 49. 4 points for every game in your own home, while averaging only letting go of 15. 8 points per game from home. In case an individual didn’t do the math concepts, that means considering their very own last home reduction they already have averaged beating their adversaries by simply about thirty four points per game.
What’s more amazing, the average line during these games has only also been 21 points. That method Louisville has beaten often the spread, on average, simply by 13 points per sport at home given that 2003.
Wow… how can anyone not in favor of that?
Here’s precisely how…
Nearly all of those stats have been accumulated during the 2005 season. This year, 2006, Louisville has been closer to great than great. They’ve experienced recent games that has they are yet to only scored twenty-eight, 23, 24 points. That game titles weren’t against Kansas Stycken. or Michigan. Many people were against Cincinnati, Syracuse, and Kansas St.
In essence of which this is still a new close sport to contact. Yet the things i look intended for is West Virginia’s security to carry the time. If Cincinnati, Syracuse, and Kansas St. can all hold Louisville under 35 points, then there’s simply no reason to think WVU can’t hold them to this low to middle of the 20’s. My honest advice is to lay off this particular game and not really guarantee at all. There will be better game titles this quick with more simple benefits.
The final score in this game was Louisville 46, West Florida 34. Lousiville won because West Las vegas had 6 fumbles together with allowed Lousiville to give back a new punt for a TD. The results was of which West Virginia’s border has not been so big they will may still win right after generating so many mistakes. By simply not betting on this kind of game, people severe about wagering saved money they can put to better use on coming games.