Sports betting is often very profitable if anyone know the tricks this “smart money” bettors make use of to consistently make cash. One of the greatest secrets that smart money bettors use is definitely knowing when NOT in order to bet.

Here’s a excellent case in point. We analyzed often the West California vs. otablog , and concluded that West Va had typically the edge in the activity. Yet , I actually also noticed that there were a whole lot of random and unforeseen factors, and recommended to a clients that they do not guarantee on this particular game. Here is my personal analysis I released just before the game:

West Va or Louisville

This game offers all the signals of being one of the best games regarding the year, together with each teams coming into the game 7-0. It’s #3 graded West Virginia vs. #5 ranked Louisville, each together with high-scoring offenses and stingy defenses. Last year’s game was a classic, together with Western world Virginia coming backside from getting down big in the independence day 1 fourth to winning inside overtime, however,.

So what’s the game appear like this year?

If this game were as played from the fairly neutral field, West Las vegas would likely probably be a 4-6 position favorite. Since this game is at Louisville, WVU is a 1-point under dog. Let’s see if this makes sense…

West Virginia will be on an unprecedented throw. That they haven’t lost due to the fact April. 1, 2005, planning 14-0 since they misplaced to Va Tech. Through the last two conditions they’re 13-5 ATS at the same time. They’re also 7-2 ATS in their last 9 game titles overall, and 8-2 ATS in their last 10 PATH games.

These types of are some very outstanding stats that tilt typically the scales in favor connected with WVU with regard to tonight’s game. Plus, this included bonus offer is that WVU is definitely GETTING +1 point. This might not seem like much, but in a in close proximity match-up this way, that extra point might make the difference between a new push and even a loss.

But what regarding Louisville?

Louisville’s figures are generally almost as good while WVU’s -except when the idea comes to Louisville within the point spread. In their very own very last 10 games, Louisville is actually 4-6 ATS. The fact that said, Louisville is in spite of everything 7-3 ATS inside their very last 10 home games.

And even if you’re leaning towards WVU, here’s a intimidating stat… Louisville hasn’t dropped in your house since December eighteen, 2003! During this present run Louisville is hitting 49. some points every game in the home, while hitting only stopping 15. 6 points each game on home. In case anyone didn’t do the mathmatical, that means considering that his or her last home damage they are yet to averaged beating their opponents by about 34 items per game.

Furthermore remarkable, the average line during these games has only also been 21 points. That means that Louisville has beaten typically the range, on average, by simply 13 factors per game at home since the year 2003.

Wow… how can a person go against that?

Here’s exactly how…

Most of those stats ended up accumulated during the 2006 season. Shock as to, 2006, Louisville has been nearer to very good than great. They have already experienced recent games by which they already have only scored 28, twenty three, 24 points. That games weren’t against Ohio St. or Michigan. They were against Cincinnati, Syracuse, together with Kansas St.

In essence that will this is still a good close video game to phone. Although the things i look regarding is West Virginia’s protection to carry the time. If Cincinnati, Syracuse, and even Kansas St. can all of hold Louisville under thirty points, then there’s zero reason to think WVU can’t have one to often the low to middle of the 20’s. My honest recommendation will be to lay off this particular game and not necessarily wager at all. There are usually better games this end of the week with more clear-cut advantages.

The final score of the game was Louisville 46, West Florida 34. Lousiville won because West Virginia had 6 fumbles in addition to allowed Lousiville to go back a new punt for a good TD. The results was that will West Virginia’s advantage had not been so big that they may still win after producing so many mistakes. By not betting on this specific match, people critical about sports betting saved money they will can put to better use on forthcoming games.