Sports gambling can be extremely profitable if an individual know the strategies often the “smart money” gamblers make use of to consistently make income. One of the biggest secrets that wise money gamblers use is definitely knowing when NOT for you to bet.

Here’s a great instance. My partner and i analyzed typically the Western side Virginia vs. Louisville game, and concluded that West California had the edge in the game. Nevertheless , I also realized that there were a great deal of random and unstable factors, and recommended to a clients that they accomplish not wager on that game. Here is the analysis I released in advance of the game:

West Virginia vs . Louisville

This game has all the indicators of being one connected with the best games regarding the year, with each teams coming into the game 7-0. It’s #3 graded West Virginia as opposed to. #5 ranked Louisville, each using high-scoring offenses and stingy defenses. Last year’s video game was a classic, having Western world Virginia coming back from staying down massive in the fourth 1 fourth to winning around overtime, however,.

So what’s the action appear like this year?

If this sport were getting played from a simple field, West Florida would probably be a 4-6 position favorite. Since the game is in Louisville, WVU is a 1-point under dog. Let’s see if this will make sense…

West Virginia can be on an unprecedented roll. That they haven’t lost due to the fact April. 1, 2005, proceeding 14-0 since they dropped to Las vegas Tech. Inside the last two periods they’re 13-5 ATS at the same time. They’re also 7-2 ATS in their last being unfaithful activities overall, and 8-2 OBTAIN THE in their final 10 STREET games.

These kind of are some very impressive stats that tilt often the scales in favor connected with WVU to get tonight’s online. Plus, typically the added reward is that WVU is usually GETTING +1 point. This can not seem to be like significantly, but in a close match-up this way, that excess point might make the variation between a good push plus a loss.

But you may be wondering what with regards to Louisville?

Louisville’s gambling may be almost as good because WVU’s -except when the idea comes to Louisville in the point spread. In their very own previous 10 games, Louisville is only 4-6 ATS. That will said, Louisville is in spite of everything 7-3 ATS inside their previous 10 home games.

In addition to if you’re leaning in the direction of WVU, here’s a scary stat… Louisville hasn’t missing in the home since 12 , 17, the year 2003! During this latest run Louisville is hitting 49. 5 points each game in the home, while averaging only giving up 15. 6 points every game at home. In case an individual decided not to do the mathmatical, that means considering their own last home loss they are yet to averaged beating their very own opposing team by way of about 34 points per game.

What’s more remarkable, the average line in these games has only been recently 21 points. That method Louisville has beaten the spread, on average, by way of 13 items per sport at home considering that 2003.

Wow… how can you go against that?

Open365aa ‘s how…

Almost all of those stats were being established during the 2005 season. There is much surprise, 2006, Louisville has been nearer to great than great. They have already experienced recent games in which they are yet to only scored twenty eight, 12, 24 points. And these activities weren’t against Kansas Street. or Michigan. That they ended up against Cincinnati, Syracuse, plus Kansas St.

Basically that will this is still a good close match to call up. But what I look for is West Virginia’s safety to carry the working day. If Cincinnati, Syracuse, in addition to Kansas St. can just about all hold Louisville under thirty points, then there’s virtually no cause to think WVU can’t hold them to the particular low to middle 20’s. My honest advice can be to lay off this specific game and not guess at all. There happen to be better games this weekend break with more clear-cut strengths.

The final score on this game was Louisville 46, West Va 34. Lousiville won because West Va had 6 fumbles plus allowed Lousiville to give back a good punt for the TD. The bottom line was of which West Virginia’s fringe was not so big they may possibly still win immediately after producing so many mistakes. By not betting on this particular video game, people critical regarding gambling saved money many people can put to better employ on approaching games.